This article is devoted to applying system analysis and data mining meth-odology to one of the most pressing problems today: studying the security of a global society in a conflicting world. A set of global threats relevant to the first half of the 21st century is considered. These threats have been identified by the United Nations (UN), the World Health Organization (WHO), the World Economic Forum, and other reputable international organizations. As a result of applying the Delphi method to analyze a wide range of threats identified by these organizations, 11 of the most important threats to humanity in the first half of the 21st century were iden-tified. The vulnerabilities of different countries to the impact of the totality of these threats are analyzed. Scenarios for the possible development of a global society dur-ing and after the conflict are constructed. Присвячено застосуванню методології системного аналізу та інтелектуального аналізу даних до однієї з найактуальніших проблем сучасності: дослідження безпеки глобального суспільства в конфліктному світі. Розглянуто комплекс глобальних загроз, актуальних для першої половини ХХІст.